Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.081400 0.096650 0.113753 0.134324 0.158364 0.185537 0.218549
2025-02-23 0.060361 0.080694 0.106092 0.140006 0.183952 0.238807 0.312286
2025-03-02 0.044731 0.065766 0.094395 0.135907 0.194205 0.272748 0.386089
2025-03-09 0.035801 0.056999 0.087984 0.136070 0.208188 0.311546 0.469889
2025-03-16 0.028961 0.049483 0.081428 0.134041 0.217584 0.343871 0.547514
2025-03-23 0.024960 0.045404 0.079044 0.137417 0.234832 0.389038 0.648916
2025-03-30 0.021025 0.040573 0.074461 0.136197 0.244087 0.422295 0.735027
2025-04-06 0.017590 0.035905 0.069263 0.132885 0.248978 0.448483 0.811975
2025-04-13 0.014663 0.031591 0.063912 0.128305 0.250705 0.469040 0.881084
2025-04-20 0.013086 0.029608 0.062529 0.130742 0.265231 0.513232 0.996102
2025-04-27 0.011596 0.027511 0.060559 0.131667 0.276858 0.553203 1.107453
2025-05-04 0.010288 0.025554 0.058539 0.132129 0.287496 0.592250 1.220906
2025-05-11 0.009244 0.024034 0.057273 0.134125 0.301794 0.640511 1.358652
2025-05-18 0.008569 0.023262 0.057530 0.139465 0.323796 0.706535 1.538937
2025-05-25 0.007348 0.020900 0.053791 0.135310 0.324811 0.729923 1.635069
2025-06-01 0.006560 0.019487 0.052043 0.135457 0.335295 0.774083 1.778954
2025-06-08 0.005763 0.017881 0.049554 0.133434 0.340492 0.807328 1.902767
2025-06-15 0.005327 0.017196 0.049274 0.136794 0.358719 0.871048 2.099612
2025-06-22 0.004740 0.015948 0.047313 0.135579 0.365698 0.910067 2.244932
2025-06-29 0.004147 0.014551 0.044712 0.132281 0.367046 0.936146 2.363128
2025-07-06 0.003588 0.013135 0.041813 0.127721 0.364545 0.952772 2.460746
2025-07-13 0.003323 0.012625 0.041444 0.130148 0.380643 1.016014 2.676162
2025-07-20 0.003040 0.011989 0.040592 0.131069 0.392814 1.070777 2.876164